At the Genesis Invitational, Matsuyama gained strokes putting in three of his last four appearances. 1 in terms of total strokes gained from tee-to-green at this event. Over the last six years, only Kevin Chappell has registered four rounds in the 60s in the same API tournament. The former world No. A par-68 layout measuring at over 7,600 yards and. So its yet another week to reference performance in difficult, Major-like conditions when handicapping this event. Scrambling GainedandSG: Short Gamemake the biggest jump compared to TOUR average, each falling inside the top 10. PLAYER PLOTS QUERY TOOL Approach Skill NEW Using strokes-gained, proximity, and GIR to break down approach skill across 6 yardage buckets. . Id say Im committed regardless of the odds, and in addition to Zalatoris, will also be considering Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, and Sam Burns for my betting card when Arnold Palmer Invitational odds are released on Monday. I expect Will Zalatoris to be the most popularly bet player this week. In terms of stats to de-prioritize when handicapping Genesis Invitational odds, all proximity stats frominside 150yards did not correlate with success at Riviera CC. Riviera rewards shot makers who position themselves well off the tee, work their drives in both directions, and scramble at a high percentage around the tricky, undulated green complexes. pga tour proximity to hole 150 yards; why greek gods don't wear clothes; amanda bearse net worth; drawing websites for phones. Francesco Molinari a member at Riviera CC and top-10 finisher in this event in 2021 was also dominant in his victory at the 2018 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac. It is highlighted by the big-three of Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler. Yet he ranked 43rd in SG putting and, strikingly, 65th out of 70 players who made the cut in proximity to the hole (a measure of approach play). June 12, 2022 . The lack of wind last week at the Honda Classic was really an outlier versus what we typically see on the Florida Swing. Like last week at TPC Scottsdale, correlation stats at Riviera CC are fairly on par with the TOUR average. Time: 2:30-5:30 p.m. It's also why Scott talks a lot about how it's much easier to avoid making bogeys than it is to make birdies. Each player also happens to fall inside the top 15 of my model, which rarely ends up being the case. Nearing 7,500 yards, Bay Hill offers a high concentration of approaches from long range. There's a minimum. That means an emphasis on Distance, long-irons, and Short Game around firm and fast Bermuda greens. Ten feet farther from the hole on 72 approach shots is an enormous difference. Lets also remember, he lost in a playoff to Scottie Scheffler last year at TPC Scottsdale, one of our correlated courses. Theres a particularly notable overlap from the three lefties in Watson, Mickelson, and Weir. The cut line has been over par at the Genesis Invitational every year over the last decade. 1,283 player in the world, Tiger Woods. 1, 2, and 3 (Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Jon Rahm) highlight the field this week. For more coverage of the Darius Rucker Intercollegiate and NCAA and professional golf, visit golfchannel.com. Mashing those comp courses together, the top-10 players in SG: TOT are McIlroy, Morikawa, Zalatoris, Schauffele, Scheffler, Fitzpatrick, Jon Rahm, Matsuyama, Thomas, and Keegan Bradley, illustrating a theme of predominantly regular Major contenders. But even then, the very best putters on Tour are averaging just over 80' of made putts per round. We know he is an elite iron player, he ranks No. This week however, it looks like it is back to normal for least a couple of the four days. More importantly, how could he have ranked 7th with such poor proximity to the pin numbers? Missouri Valley Touranment Odds: Which Veteran-Laden Team Prevails? 1 on Tour in Par 4 Scoring and 2nd in Par 5 Scoring. In his career, he has three Top 20 finishes at Bay Hill, two Top 10s at Quail Hollow, and finished 34th in the PGA Championship at Southern Hills. 1 in the field in terms of SG: T2G in comp conditions. Like PGA National last week, penalties loom, with water hazards in play on nine holes. Between Scrambling, SG: Around The Green, and Sand Saves, Im looking to build around players who possess an imaginative, pressure-tested short game to find success on this course. We saw Scottie Scheffler win at both tracks last year. When looking at the Top 26 players in the OWGR, 15 of them are priced shorter than 35-1 to win this week at Bay Hill. Colt Knost and the other PGA Tour pros that called Royal Oaks Golf Club in Dallas home used to call Scottie Scheffler their little shadow. It appears your browser may be outdated. Scheffler's winning 72-hole score of minus-5 last year was the second in three years but also . There are just eight players who rank top-40 in scoring from both hole ranges: Max Homa, Collin Morikawa, Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im, Tom Hoge, Jason Day, and Aaron Baddeley. For my model inFantasy Nationalthis week, Im prioritizing SG: APP, SG: ARG, Prox 150+, Course & Comp Course History, and SG: T2G (Difficult Scoring Conditions) followed by a more balanced mix of Weighted Putting (Bermuda, Fast Greens), Driving Distance, P4: 450-500, Par 3: 200+, Par-5 Scoring, Bogey Avoidance, and SG: T2G (L12 Rounds). This may be good week to monitor U.S. Open futures if value players impress. Nearly 50% of those approaches come from between 150-200 yards. Will Zalatoris in difficult conditions. Golf course length of 18-hole course ranges from 6,500 to 6,900 yards which is approximately 5,900 to 6,400 meters. Course Fit Tool Are certain skill sets such as distance, or accuracy favoured at specific courses? Dustin Johnson tied for 51st among 186 players in scoring average at 70.46 shots per round. Its hardif not impossibleto win with poor putting and even worse approach shots. Overlapping winners at Augusta National includes: Scott, Watson, Dustin Johnson, Phil Mickelson, Mike Weir, Fred Couples, and Nick Faldo. Theres also been a steady trend of international players finding success here, suggesting an advantage for those who are comfortable in conditions more exposed to the elements. For PGA and LPGA players, the best data available tracks carry distance. As a PGA Tour Professional, you would assume that the yardages would again be perfect and they're close, with an average of 150.8 yards. I have a hard time picturing players like Homa, Cantlay, Thomas, and Morikawa priced longer than Zalatoris, which means Zal should open around 25-1. 1 player, hottest golfer in the world, and inevitable favorite in Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, Jon Rahm, claims the top spot in the model this week. Notable veterans who have made no more than one prior appearance at the Arnold Palmer Invitational include Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, Xander Schauffele, and Jordan Spieth. Both courses are over 7,400 yards with an advantage to bombers, they feature thick and penal rough throughout, and have firm and fast Bermuda greens. After McIlroy, the rest of the top 10 in Course History includesTyrrell Hatton, Francesco Molinari, Sungjae Im, Jason Day, Adam Scott, Scottie Scheffler, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, and Tommy Fleetwood. If theres room for hope for the field against this dominant force, Bermuda is the surface which Rahm has had the most trouble with over his career. GOLF.com and GOLF Magazine are published by EB GOLF MEDIA LLC, a division of 8AM GOLF. Bryson DeChambeaus well-publicized attempt to drive the green over the water on the par-5 6th hole was a must-see moment in golf, and its a shame the 2021 champion cant be here to have another go at it. The Twitter handle is a joke. After Scott, the rest of the top 10 in Event History includes: McIlroy, Rahm, Homa, Xander Schauffele, Luke Donald, Viktor Hovland, Justin Thomas, Aaron Baddeley, and Hideki Matsuyama. Par 3, 4, 5 are more common with many golf courses but some courses include Par 6. In. Just nine players rate out above average in each of the above top-10 stat categories for Bay Hill:Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Sungjae Im, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Jason Day, Tyrrell Hatton, andWill Zalatoris. He said he didn't think adding . Its clear he gets the most out of his game as the conditions grow more difficult. Matsuyama ranks top 10 in Bogey Avoidance (Difficult Scoring Conditions), Comp Course History, SG: ARG, Scrambling, Sand Saves, and SG: P (5-10 feet). With its elevated status, this event feature virtually every eligible player on the PGA TOUR. The Average Spin Rates, Launch Angle & Ball Speed for Golf. But one thing I want to point out is how TIGHT the dispersion is from this distance. And, like Novak, he's doing it nicely. After Rahm, my models top-10 is rounded out byRory McIlroy, Sungjae Im, Max Homa, Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay, Will Zalatoris, Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau, and Collin Morikawa. On the other hand, it can also lower your expectations! I played when the huge advances in equipment was just beginning. Some of the bigger names in this field that check that box are Gary. World No. Let the right arm straighten in the downswing. So, we should expect some patience from players to battle for four tough days of golf. This will be our last stop on the West Coast swing, so its worth revisiting the Poa specialists: Homa, Rahm, Rodgers, Kuchar, Taylor, Scott, Peter Malnati, Wyndham Clark, Webb Simpson, and Justin Suh. Ohio Sports Betting Promos: Michigan State Spartans at OSU Buckeyes Odds, Saturday College Basketball Best Bets: Situational Spots Worth Considering. From an Approach standpoint, Bay Hill offers a different test on second shots than were used to seeing week to week on the PGA TOUR. Find the favorites in Florida this week with odds shorter than 20-1 here when sportsbooks open odds midday Monday. Last year, severe winds intervened over the weekend, creating a chaotic conclusion in which Scottie Scheffler edged past Viktor Hovland, Gary Woodland and Billy Horschel to claim his second career victory. Annually one of the most difficult scoring venues on the PGA TOUR schedule, its always a good idea to reference recent Major results in Arnold Palmer Invitational week, as Scheffler foreshadowed with his 2022 victory. Rivieras greens are known to be among the trickiest on the PGA TOUR to hole putts on from short range, so Ill be looking to dial in on those who are most comfortable on the crucial 5-10 footers. Go to the range and map out your 50%-100% distances with every club. According to 2009 LPGA statistics, the average female professional's driver carries 220 yards and travels 246 total yards. 90-110 yards. The PGA Tour returns this week after Chris Kirk was able to hold off 34-year -old longshot rookie Eric Cole in a playoff. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson were the only other tour players to top the 300-yard mark, as both averaged 302.1 yards on their drives. It should begin to populate by midday Monday as sportsbooks open odds for the API. TPC Southwind, site of his maiden victory is not a perfect comp for Bay Hill, but his performance on similar Bermuda greens is one that should translate. Top 100 Courses in the U.S.: GOLFs all-new 2022-23 ranking is here! There are just 11 players who fit that criteria: Jon Rahm, Sungjae Im, Max Homa, Will Zalatoris, Tony Finau, Tyrrell Hatton, Sahith Theegala, Brian Harman, Erik Barnes, Chris Kirk, and Billy Horschel. ), multiply by 36, and choose the tees that most closely match that yardage. TPC Potomac stands out, with top 10 finishers at the 2022 Wells Fargo Championship featuring many perennial Riviera standouts. Her 3-, 5- and 7-woods carry 195, 185 and 174 yards, respectively and total 218, 200 and 186 yards. But Tiger is nothing if not a competitor, so we should assume he wouldnt be accelerating his recovery time to enter this field if he himself didnt believe he could contend. Riviera CC calls for creative shot shaping, imaginative ball striking, and delicate touch around the greens. Tiger Woods hadn't made a start in a non-major, official PGA Tour event since the Zozo Championship in October 2020. So, Sand Saves will be an important stat to track this week. This will be one of the most crucial weeks for short game outside of Majors. In his brief career, Ims had five Top 10 finishes in the state of Florida. Will Zalatoris is one of our expert's top picks this week. This course has seen success from short game savants likeKevin Na, Kevin Kisner, Billy Horschel, andChristiaan Bezuidenhoutwho lack the distance youd ideally want to see for Bay Hill. Kisner, who played Augusta National on Sunday, said he had 210 yards to the front of the green - "I pounded it and there was no roll" - and anticipated that "the bombers can probably get home with 5- or 6-iron.". A presence of long par-4s and long par-3s have shown consistent across most difficult venues. The statistics are based on the PGA Tours Shotlink system, which tracks each shot played on the tour. His price is a little shorter than I expected but I took the plunge anyway. The median score has fallen around +5 in years where winds are up, so needless to say, itll be worth monitoring the forecast this week. The. After McIlroy, my models top-10 rounds out with: Homa, Finau, Morikawa, Rahm, Sungjae Im, Cantlay, Schauffele, Day, and Scheffler. He created the website thepgatout.com at the start of 2021 and is active on Twitter (@PGATout). What is Jim Nantzs career lowlight? Let him tell you about adult film, Its f hard: Jon Rahm comes back to Earth at brutal Bay Hill. Shot Scope have analysed their database of golfers to find out just how close golfers hit the ball from varying approach shots. Both are difficult tests that favor distance over precision off the tee with a classical and tree-lined look, and share the Tom Fazio influence after his renovations to Riviera in the 2000s. I mentioned earlier that this weeks winner will need to be excellent in two of the three areas we highlighted either off of the tee, with the irons, or with the short game. PGA TOUR | The Honda Classic Chris Kirk birdied the first hole of a playoff to claim the fifth victory of his PGA TOUR career - and the third finish of T3 or better in his last four starts since putting the NEW Pro V1x golf ball in play to begin the season. Example: You hit your 5-iron 150 yards. The win foreshadowed better results later to come for Scheffler in Majors. Tiger Woods is ranked number one in total strokes gained and he is ranked at or near the top of PGA TOUR golfers in each of the three main categories: long game, short game and putting. Woods handed the trophy to Joaquin Niemann this time last year. As explained this week in the infographics below: How PGA Tour players fare on approach shots from 100-125, 150-175 and 200-plus yards. That said, players wont gain much on the field with a birdie start on 1. Unfortunately for our purposes, this is the first time that Patrick Cantlay will be playing in this event. Last year, 21.7% of approach shots came from 150-175 yards, which is a touch above the TOUR average of 20.3%. But, I think this event is really a testament to players who are well-rounded across a number of specific distance and short game-oriented categories. To get the most accurate distances for your own game, you can use a launch monitor or try out different clubs on the range. This helps me get shallow which is needed to get lower flight and spin. 16 players avoided missing the cut at the Genesis Invitational over the last five years (min. @JustinThomas34 proximity to hole ranks 50-75 yards: 3rd 75-100 yards: 1st 100-125 yards: 1st 125-150 yards: 2nd 150-175 yards: 3rd 06 Sep 2022 19:22:40 Long game shots (those starting over 100 yards from the hole) explain about two-thirds of the variability in scores among golfers on the PGA TOUR. Hes 19th on Tour in Par 5 Scoring and 4th in Par 4 Scoring. Scroll to the bottom of this article to compare complete API outright odds across legal U.S. sportsbooks. With all the course-fit profiles in mind, Im leaning early towards the below player pool for DFS. At 7,322 yards and par-71, Riviera's distance doesn't jump off the page. 2. Cantlay ranks 5th on Tour in Total Driving, being both long and accurate. Step 1 - don't panic. Riviera CC is a refreshing reminder that you can design a golf course to be challenging at just 7,300 yards. For the week, Casey ranked 9th in driving accuracy, 6th in strokes gained off the tee and 9th in SG around the green. His putter continues to trend, now gaining with the flat stick in six consecutive events, so if that continues, theres no question he has the tools to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. A win in Arnies tournament would be quite a moment for the young man. Holmes was 55th at 70.52 while Watson tied for 64th at 70.62. Posted Monday at 10:18 PM. Four of the last five winners opened at 50-1 odds or longer, so mid-range longshots make for viable bets. From one elevated event to another, the party was only just getting started in Phoenix. Any wayward drives into the trees are essentially an automatic bogey. In the last three seasons, weve seen this golf course become much more difficult. A 2009 article on the Swingman Golf website listed the average carry (the distance a ball travels in the air) of each club used by PGA Tour players over the previous four years. That distinction (and his presence) adds more prestige to the tournament. Rory must have a flair for Invitationals, as if theres an event hes proven more consistency at than the Genesis, it is assuredly the Arnold Palmer Invitational. These are the categories in which Zalatoris shines, as he joins Jon Rahm as the only two players to rank top-40 in each category. The fairways have been made wider and longer but the rough is about as close to U.S. No, he is not a tout. Will he even make the cut? If you want to bet on Tiger for the novelty of it, there is a non-zero chance he finds his way into the weekend through his short game alone. He didnt look great in exhibition display in Decembers The Match, but it will be interesting to see what a couple more months of rest and rehabilitation can do for his ailing Plantar Fasciitis. He was the first round leader at this event last year, and has now posted the low round of the day in the last seven API events. 2020 U.S. Open champion has a one-stroke lead over Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm a hole-out longer! In particular, I looked at Strokes Gained: Approach, Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, Strokes Gained: Off The Tee on long courses, Strokes Gained: Total on hard courses with long rough, Strokes Gained: Putting on fast Bermuda, Par 5 Scoring, Scrambling, Strokes Gained: Par 4s from 450-500 yards, and Proximity to the Hole from 150 to greater than 200 yards.