So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances that they would then get knocked up? It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. So what's the probability of your being born? By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. How fast does a laden fly fly? or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. dr ali binazir odds of being born. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Now things start getting interesting. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. That's 150,000 generations. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. "It is a part of probability that many improbable things will happen.. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Please pass this post along. Are they gross exaggerations? May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Its maddening to see people worry so much. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Which ones bigger? They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. And I note that it is an unladen fly that moves at about 4 mph. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Step 3. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. xx, Lets be social! So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist For perspective on the size of those numbers, there are only 10x 80 elementary particles in the observable universe.). On one try.. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Step 1. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Were all winners in life without doing anything! Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Whoa. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Step 4. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. You Shouldn't Be Alive. The Odds of You Existing Are Basically | by On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? 7 distinct works Similar authors. You can start the series by clicking HERE. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Then the probability of Mr. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. A lovely day to you. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. June 5. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Thats 150,000 generations. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. This button displays the currently selected search type. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. Dr. Ali Binazir - Author - San Francisco, CA | YourTango Experts So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Why? Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 102,685,000. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Step 3. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Me neither. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. Want to Read. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). dr ali binazir odds of being born - simssuccessgroup.com And worry and fear? The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Thats a pretty good trip. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. You have lived your life. Scripture says. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Step 1. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Your email address will not be published. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! dr ali binazir odds of being born. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. But Im not mathy. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . That's 150,000 generations. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors.